New Report: LATAM's rise in global crypto markets

USDe faces regulatory setback in Europe.

USDC

CEX

Derivatives

30/06/2025

    Welcome to the Data Debrief!

    Welcome back to the Data Debrief! This week we’re diving into Ethena’s USDe, a stablecoin that’s quickly captured market share and regulatory attention. As global rules tighten and stablecoins become more integrated into mainstream finance, can USDe keep its momentum? We break down the data and the latest headlines.

    • Ethena faces EU setback

    • Stablecoin liquidity shifts

    • Why price methodologies matter

    Trend of the Week

    USDe faces regulatory setback in Europe.

    Since its late 2023 debut, Ethena’s USDe has rapidly cemented its position as a major player in the stablecoin market. Now the fourth-largest stablecoin by market cap, USDe sees average weekly trading volumes of $560 million, matching those of the long-established DAI. This surge is driven by strong activity on both centralized and decentralized exchanges.

    However, as adoption grows, so does regulatory pressure. Global regulators remain cautious, keeping these products outside major frameworks such as the U.S. Genius Act, Singapore’s MAS, and Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Bill, partly out of concern that widespread use could trigger deposit outflows from banks into higher-yielding stablecoin alternatives.


    The latest escalation came on June 25, when Germany’s BaFin instructed Ethena GmbH to begin a 42-day wind-down of USDe redemptions in Europe, ending on August 6. This move follows a March ban on new USDe issuance, citing MiCA violations related to yield-bearing sUSDe qualifying as a security.


    Despite BaFin’s action, the immediate price impact was contained. USDe briefly depegged to $0.9992 USDT on June 25 but quickly bounced back as arbitrage traders stepped in.

    Still, this depeg has lingered longer than in past incidents, suggesting that markets are now treating regulatory actions as more material risks. In March, USDe also fell from its peg following BaFin’s initial issuance ban, though it recovered within a day.

    Notably, at that time, direct redemptions through Ethena GmbH were not allowed, forcing all selling into the secondary market and exacerbating price pressure.

    The market structure for USDe has also shifted, with trading moving from decentralized to centralized exchanges, suggesting broader adoption. Centralized exchanges now account for 67% of all USDe volume, up from 36% in March. Curve, once a major venue for USDe trading, has seen its market share shrink, while Bybit has doubled its share to 38%.

    Unlike DAI, which trades broadly across altcoins, most USDe activity on centralized exchanges remains focused on blue-chip tokens like BTC, ETH, and SOL.

    Integration with perpetual products has played a major role in USDe’s ability to generate high trading volumes despite being listed on fewer pairs. Bybit and Bitget have both enabled USDe to be used as collateral for perpetual trading. This allows large traders and institutions to use USDe for leveraged positions on major assets such as BTC, ETH, and SOL, driving significant transaction volume even without broad altcoin support.

    In contrast, DAI’s volume is spread across hundreds of altcoins and spot pairs, but with generally lower activity per pair.

    On-chain data shows the extraordinary demand for USDe since it launched less than two years ago.
    The total circulating supply of USDe fell from near-record highs of around $6 billion in mid-June to just over $5.3 billion today. While this is a large decline, it is not unusual in the history of USDe, as supply dropped by $600 million in a single week in February.
    As such, this likely has less to do with European regulatory concerns and more to do with normal market fluctuations. For instance, both USDC and DAI supply have whipsawed and trended lower over the same period. Therefore, this decline is unlikely to signal lost confidence in the project following the recent news.
    Looking ahead, while investor demand for high-yield stablecoins remains strong, USDe’s long-term growth will depend more on regulatory clarity than on market momentum. Clear rules would enable USDe to move from the margins and become fully integrated into emerging DeFi infrastructure such as Ubyx, an upcoming clearing and settlement platform designed to streamline stablecoin redemptions and risk management.
    Data Points


    USDC’s share of global liquidity increases.


    USDC liquidity is steadily gaining ground across crypto markets, even as USDT continues to dominate trading volumes and overall market depth. On major exchanges, excluding Coinbase because it merged its USD and USDC order books in 2022, BTC-USDC now accounts for 24% of the total 1% market depth. This is up from just 15% six months ago.

    This rise aligns with USDC’s expanding global trading share. Market makers are increasingly favoring the stablecoin on high-volume offshore platforms such as Binance and Bitget.
    The shift is not limited to Bitcoin. Major altcoins have shown similar trends, with ETH-USDC depth more than doubling since November. XRP and SOL have also recorded significant increases in USDC-backed liquidity.

    As exchanges like Binance move toward greater regulatory compliance, and as the overall market adapts to stricter global oversight, USDC is well positioned to close the liquidity gap with USDT. Still, stablecoin liquidity is likely to remain more robust than fiat liquidity, especially for high-beta altcoins that lack direct fiat pairs.


    For many exchanges operating outside the US and EU, stablecoins offer a simpler, lower-friction alternative to fiat and help avoid the complexities and costs associated with banking relationships.



    The BTC challenge for major U.S. mortgage firms.

    U.S. homebuyers could soon use crypto investments as collateral to secure mortgages. This is based on a statement from U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency chief Bill Pulte, who said:

    “After significant studying, and in keeping with President Trump’s vision to make the United States the crypto capital of the world, today I ordered the Great Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare their businesses to count cryptocurrency as an asset for a mortgage.”

    What does this mean for the mortgage associations? Beyond understanding the idiosyncratic risks related to crypto markets, they will need to learn how to value BTC accurately in dollar terms. The fragmentation of crypto markets across multiple venues and time zones makes this more difficult, and standard pricing methodologies are not always accurate, as we can see below when we compare a standard volume-weighted price with Kaiko’s Fair Market Value price.

    Patchy volumes can lead to major spikes in the BTC-USD price when using the VWAP method, while our in-house methodology consistently prices BTC-USD without deviations.

    Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will need to employ pricing methods like the Fair Market Value (FMV) method rather than relying on VWAP or even cross prices, as these are not specifically designed for financial reporting under US GAAP, IFRS, and other standards.


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    Data Used In This Analysis

    Our industry-leading research is the direct result of combining our proprietary data with world-class in-house experts. Bringing the very best of Kaiko’s people and data together, we unlock the unique insights that form the basis for our discoveries and analysis. We believe in doing so, our data speaks for itself, helping both our clients and the wider industry get a better understanding of the crypto ecosystem, and the evolving trends and patterns in motion at a regional and global scale.

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